Economic Insights

 

 

Our Economic Insight series is a global knowledge series which includes focused analysis on a given country (country report), or sector (supply chain analysis), as well as cross-country and cross-sector comparisons such as our interactive country risk map.

 

Latest issues

  

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Brexit: What does it mean for Europe? - May 18, 2016

Euler Hermes expects global Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) to remain around 64 days in 2016. In 2015, 1 out of 4 companies worldwide was paid after 90 days, on average. Electronics, Machinery & equipment and Construction are the sectors where companies wait the longest to get paid: 89, 87 and 81 days in 2015. Those closer to the consumers – Retail, Food, Non-business services, and Transportation – report a DSO below 50 days (read the full report).
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Brexit: What does it mean for Europe? - May 18, 2016

In a soft leave scenario, UK real GDP growth could be cut by -2.8pp between 2​017 and 2019 and 1,500 additional bankruptcies are expected. In a hard leave scenario, the cumulated impact would be -4.3pp of real GDP growth and 1,700 insolvencies. The peak is expected in 2019. Brexit fears are nonetheless already affecting the UK: -£34 billion in portfolio outflows ​(read the full report).
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Brazil did not need more drama right now - May 13, 2016​

Brazil’s president Dilma Rousseff was suspended for a period of up to 180 days after the country’s Senate voted to put her on trial. Vice president Michel Temer assumed the role of acting president. This political stalemate is yet another major challenge for the Brazilian economy and adds up to the pile. Even if some see an opportunity to initiate much needed reforms, prolonged political uncertainty will inevitably exacerbate an already challenging economic situation (read the full report​).
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